Tinubu’s Aide Predicts Collapse Of ADC Opposition Coalition Within Six Months

Daniel Bwala, Special Adviser on Policy Communication to President Bola Tinubu, says the newly formed coalition of opposition politicians under the African Democratic Congress (ADC) lacks the unity and direction to survive beyond six months.

He believes internal rivalry, absence of clear policies, and personal ambitions will destroy the group before it can become a real challenge.

Bwala made this known during an interview on Channels Television’s Politics Today, where he described the coalition as a gathering of “internally displaced politicians” more interested in political survival than in presenting real alternatives to Nigerians.

He accused the opposition bloc of relying solely on public criticism without offering any concrete policy proposals. According to him, the group’s constant media presence has not translated into meaningful solutions or a clear strategy that can convince Nigerians of a better path forward.

Bwala pointed out that even key figures like Peter Obi, who ran for president in 2023 under the Labour Party, have yet to counter the current administration’s policies with practical or superior alternatives. He said Obi’s media interviews have lacked substance and failed to present any solid vision.

He predicted that power tussles, especially over who will emerge as the coalition’s presidential candidate, will quickly unravel the group. He referenced comments by Datti Baba-Ahmed, Obi’s former running mate, who reportedly warned that the coalition could fall apart because too many members want to be president.

Bwala said coalitions like this often begin with enthusiasm and grand ideas but are typically short-lived once ambition and ego take over. He predicted that the ADC-led coalition would fade from public conversation within six months.

He also claimed that Peter Obi has already stepped aside for Atiku Abubakar, the 2023 presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and is now eyeing the vice-presidential ticket. Bwala alleged that there are discussions behind the scenes suggesting Obi could become the Director-General of the coalition’s campaign, with Atiku promising to step down after one term if they win in 2027.

Despite Obi’s recent public declaration that he intends to run for president again in 2027, Bwala maintained that the former Anambra governor has lost political relevance and is now struggling to stay relevant within the new alliance.

Bwala dismissed the ADC coalition as politically unstable and incapable of offering any real threat to President Tinubu’s second-term ambitions. He argued that forming a lasting coalition takes more than shared resentment against the government; it requires discipline, shared goals, and credible leadership—qualities he says are missing in the current opposition bloc.

The ADC platform was recently adopted by various political figures including Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, former Minister of Transportation Rotimi Amaechi, ex-Senate President David Mark, and former Minister Rauf Aregbesola. They are attempting to rally support ahead of the 2027 elections, but Bwala is confident the alliance will not last.